Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000267 0.000299 0.000335 0.000376 0.000422 0.000473 0.000533
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000208 0.000255 0.000310 0.000380 0.000468 0.000573 0.000711
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000234 0.000303 0.000398 0.000525 0.000690 0.000921
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000151 0.000207 0.000283 0.000392 0.000546 0.000759 0.001079
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000189 0.000269 0.000391 0.000572 0.000835 0.001251
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000115 0.000171 0.000253 0.000383 0.000584 0.000891 0.001400
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000162 0.000247 0.000388 0.000616 0.000978 0.001607
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000153 0.000241 0.000391 0.000644 0.001062 0.001819
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000137 0.000223 0.000373 0.000635 0.001083 0.001926
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000130 0.000218 0.000375 0.000659 0.001162 0.002144
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000129 0.000221 0.000392 0.000711 0.001295 0.002481
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000120 0.000210 0.000384 0.000716 0.001342 0.002659
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000109 0.000196 0.000366 0.000702 0.001356 0.002777
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000105 0.000193 0.000371 0.000734 0.001463 0.003106
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000104 0.000196 0.000389 0.000792 0.001632 0.003598
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000098 0.000188 0.000382 0.000801 0.001699 0.003870
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000093 0.000183 0.000381 0.000821 0.001791 0.004215
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000087 0.000176 0.000374 0.000824 0.001847 0.004482
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000085 0.000174 0.000379 0.000857 0.001973 0.004945
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000082 0.000171 0.000382 0.000886 0.002095 0.005415
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000075 0.000161 0.000365 0.000864 0.002091 0.005553
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000073 0.000158 0.000366 0.000889 0.002206 0.006035
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000033 0.000073 0.000161 0.000383 0.000952 0.002427 0.006855